Showing posts with label money makes the world go 'round. Show all posts
Showing posts with label money makes the world go 'round. Show all posts

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Automotive History

Is the Cybertruck a bigger flop than the Edsel? Possibly so.



Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Monday, June 29, 2026

The Dumbest Timeline...

The Sunday morning political talking head shows were abuzz with the latest rounds of high explosive tag in the Persian Gulf: Iran drones some ships in the Strait of Hormuz, the US retaliates by striking targeting radars and missile & drone storage facilities, then Iran launches missiles at US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, and we launch more airstrikes on Iran...

Then suddenly this morning, before sunup, the story breaks on the Wall Street Journal's site: "U.S. and Iran Agree to Halt Days of Fighting Over Strait" and it's all over the teewee news this morning.

The vibe here is so obviously "Quick! Before the markets open!" because Wall Street traders have the object permanence of a toddler playing peek-a-boo. "Where'd mommy go? Oh no! Mommy's gone forever!", except in this case mommy is the Iranian ability to interdict traffic in the Strait.

We are entering a new phase of the war where fighting will primarily occur between Friday evening and Monday morning EDT.

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Wednesday, June 24, 2026

*headdesk*

Me: *spends literal decades on the internet trying to explain to people that there’s not a dial labeled ”GAS PRICES” on the Resolute desk*

POTUS, yesterday:

Friday, June 05, 2026

Everything from beer cans to party balloons...

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, to say nothing of damage to some of the world's largest smelters, has aluminum prices skyrocketing.
Aluminium prices are at a four-year high, up more than 25% this year, as war in the Middle East and a blocked Strait of Hormuz choke off nearly a quarter of the world’s seaborne metal supply.
Not just aluminum, though. The global helium supply has been kneecapped as well, which will impact everything from microchip manufacturing to MRIs.
The war has also upended markets for products extracted from natural gas. Among the most critical is helium, an odorless element produced as a byproduct of natural gas extraction. Before the war, Qatar supplied roughly one-third of the world’s helium.

Chip manufacturers use it to cool machines that etch circuits onto silicon wafers. Pharmaceutical companies rely on it for quality checks of their products. In magnetic resonance imaging machines, helium cools superconducting magnets.
I've already had a couple people tell me that even though prices on everything from portable electronics to memory cards for cameras is up, if I have any I need to buy, I shouldn't be waiting for Christmas because it's going to be a year minimum once the shooting stops for things to even start getting back to normal.

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Tuesday, June 02, 2026

Tab Clearing...


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Sunday, May 17, 2026

"You Have 60 Days"



You'll note that the video was published on April 8th.

Like clockwork, comes this AutoZone memo...



Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Penny wise, pound foolish

Between costs associated with Iran and various hijinks in Latin America, as well as shelling out $1.1 billion dollars (and counting!) for National Guard troops to stand around DC Metro stations, bored and scrolling their smart phones, the Army is facing a budget shortfall of something like six billion bucks.

So they're slashing training costs to the bone for the rest of the fiscal year because that's not important for "lethality", I guess.

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Friday, May 01, 2026

Pain at the Pump



Gas in Indianapolis went up another forty cents overnight. Statewide average is now $4.80 a gallon for regular, here in Indy it's $4.99 pretty much everywhere. Monday it was $3.99 a gallon, and that was already higher than it’s been in years, and now it’s gone up another 25%, with more increases incoming. Bobbi filled her tank with the required premium earlier in the week and it set her back over eighty bucks.

Bring this up on social media and you'll hear from your friends in London or Oslo how that's cheap compared to what they're used to, but so what?

First, people structure their budgets and lives around the prices and wages where they live, not halfway around the globe. Second, at this rate people are going to add a GoFundMe to fill their tank in addition to the one they already have for hospital bills. (To which your Euro friend replies "Hospital bills?")

Public transit, health insurance, lengthy suburban commutes, student loan payments, et cetera et cetera... It’s why comparing how many drachmas per dram gas costs between countries is kinda pointless.



Monday, March 23, 2026

Dire Straits

A large number of internet pundits have abandoned their earlier fields of expertise in virology, epidemiology, and deep sea submersible design, and become experts in global supply chains, seizing on the president's statements that we don't need the Strait of Hormuz opened. (Although he also issued a stern ultimatum that they'd better open it by today, or else!)

While it's possibly true that none of the gasoline in the tanks of my cars originated in the Persian Gulf, that's kinda immaterial, despite what the Very Serious Economy Understanders are telling me.

See, the Gulf States are sitting on a massive natural gas deposit. In order to utilize this gas, they sell some of it, but also put it to other uses.

For example, do you know why Alcoa built their smelting plants near hydroelectric dams? Because the Hall-Héroult process for smelting aluminum takes a tremendous amount of electricity. 

Bahrain and Qatar use natural gas electrical plants to do what Niagara Falls and the TVA did in the US; namely to drive massive aluminum smelters. Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) and Qatalum alone produce a significant percentage of the world's aluminum. Half of all aluminum used in the US is imported, mostly from Canada, but the second and third largest sources are the UAE and Bahrain. Further, since very little alumina and bauxite is actually mined in the Gulf States, most of the ore has to be shipped there in the first place... through the Strait of Hormuz, before the finished aluminum is shipped back out... through the Strait of Hormuz. The war has already seriously dinged aluminum production and shipping.

Another thing that the natural gas in the Gulf States gets used for is the Haber process. Before Fritz Haber figured out a way to produce ammonia by reacting atmospheric nitrogen with hydrogen, nations used to go to war for control of islands covered in fossilized seabird crap because it was needed to produce the nitrates necessary for things like gunpowder and fertilizer. You are alive today because of the revolution in farm productivity allowed by ammonium nitrate fertilizers. About a quarter of the nitrates for the fertilizer that the farmers in the US use is produced on the other side of the Strait of Hormuz.

Finally, even if every drop of petroleum that shipped out through the Strait of Hormuz went to China, Vietnam, South Korea, Japan, and Thailand, a very large amount of that does not get used to make fuel for Tokyo salarymen's Toyotas and PLA tanks. It gets used to make... plastic. And if you can't touch something plastic made in China/Japan/Korea/et cetera from where you're sitting right now, I'll eat my hat. 

Hell, you're probably sitting on a chair made with petroleum while reading this on a monitor made with petroleum and about to compose an angry email on a keyboard made with petroleum... all of which went through the Strait of Hormuz.

So, yeah, it's kinda important.

EDIT: Oh, I forgot, there's also about a third of the globe's helium supply stuck in there...


 

Monday, January 05, 2026

Tab Clearing...



*The tl;dr is that not only is Venezuela's oil infrastructure decades old and dilapidated from lack of maintenance, even if you fix it, Venezuela's oil reserves are sulfur-rich sludge, what is known as "heavy sour" as opposed to the "light sweet" crude preferred for easier pumping and refining. Also, demand is not rising at old rates and we're actually in a global overproduction scenario at the moment to the tune of several million barrels.

Monday, December 29, 2025

Around the Web

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