Friday, December 26, 2008

Interesting times.

So the Pakistani army is standing to.

Don't they know that if they just wait another few weeks that everything will be okay? The Lightbringer will ascend and then they can just join arms with India and sing "Kumbaya"...

10 comments:

Ed Foster said...

And won't that do wonders for the world economy if the Pakis and Indians start swapping nukes? Figure. the Indians have comparable training and technology, plus a three to one superiority in numbers. Assume they kick some serious Paki butt.
If so, would the people in charge in Islamabad be able to maintain control after losing so much face?
Or would they go for the red button, knowing they, as a mostly rural people, could survive a nuclear exchange much better than heavily urban India?
Also, shifting the Pakistani military away from the tribal areas near Afganistan essentially gives Al Quida a free hand to do whatever they need to do to solidify their control of their area of operations.
The Israelis are about ready to hop on the Gaza strip, Hezbollah, and probably the Iranians.
$35 a barrel oil is rapidly destablising Russia.
The global economic downturn has left tens of millions of "Communist" Chinese jobless, and a war with Taiwan the only escape valve.
If even one of these things does happen, the U.S. would be hard pressed to respond. If each triggers the other and all or most of the above scenarios happen simultaniously, the "Bringer of Light" will be left standing, unable to pull his thumb out. We live in interesting times indeed.

aczarnowski said...

STRATFOR's article covers a lot of this same ground very well. I'm no world politics wonk, so I got a lot of out if anyway.

BTW: Just read the tag line (new?) and I feel like an insider. I'm ready to get busy.

Kristopher said...

Could get really stupid. If Pakistan had gotten nuked under a competent US Pres, then the Taliban would be screwed ... no one to prevent us from just going in and killing them.

Under the lightworker? They get their own country again.

Noah D said...

Another aspect - if India and Pakistan go at it, conventional or nuclear, does China get involved?

Crucis said...

OTOH, with the Pak army moving to face India, the Afghan border is open to Predators seeking taliban and Al Q scalps.

DirtCrashr said...

Isn't that what the terrorists wanted in the first place? To incite an active conflagration with India?

word verif: "Fluper" - that's fluper-duper.

DirtCrashr said...

For an entire nation and a whole sub-continent comprising 1.103 Billion people who are culturally and institutionally Vegetarian they can be surprisingly bellicose - I think that nips any pious non-meat eating "peaceful vegetarian" theory right in the bud.
As per your prior essay a little red-meat and they might sleep more peacefully...

reflectoscope said...

I was going to say, pffft, its like there is a quarter of the world's population there and both sides have nukes or something, but I appear to have been beaten to it. It sounds to me like a bad deal if things there got messy.

kbarrett said...

Dirt: it ain't as simple as that. There are a enough vegs there to see to it that vegetarian is always an option on planes and trains, but the majority still eats meat when they can afford it.

Just the upper-caste folks and the jains are seriously into that crap, and the brahmin's political clout might be waning.

Joseph said...

Let's hope the Paki's and Indians don't start going at it. India will kick Pakistan's butt; but if nukes start getting exchanged, look for both China and Russia to stand to as well.

One of Pakistan's biggest problems is the gov't really only has control over about half the country. The rest of it is tribal areas only nominally under the control of the Paki gov't.